SIZZLING 7: Picks of the Week for November 21, 2015
by Bubba Rosenbaum (@BubbaRosenbaum on Twitter)
Each week, I choose seven games that I believe have favorable odds.
Check out this week’s picks below.
OVERALL RECORD VS SPREAD: 23-18-1 (54.8%) LAST WEEK (11/14/15): 4-3 (Take a look at last week’s picks)
NOTE: MY PICK IS LISTED FIRST WITH THE POINTS THAT TEAM IS GIVING OR RECEIVING IN PARENTHESES; the line used was the line at the time of the pick.
All game times are Eastern.
Rutgers (-4.5) @ Army – Michie Stadium (West Point, NY) – CBS Sports – Noon
The Scarlet Knights (3-7) are averaging less than 12 points per game during their current four-game skid.
However, they have played Michigan, Ohio State and Wisconsin during the challenging stretch.
Army (2-8) carries a three-game losing streak into this match-up and the Black Knights are coming off a last second, 34-31 home loss to Tulane last week.
Minnesota (-4.5) vs. Illinois – TCF Bank Stadium (Minneapolis, MN) – ESPN News – Noon
This match-up features two teams seeking to become bowl eligible.
For the Golden Gophers (4-6), it’s do or die against the Illini. Minnesota has dropped four straight, but three of those came against Ohio State, Michigan and Iowa and all were competitive.
If Illinois (5-5) can’t get the road win, it will have to win its season finale’ against rival Northwestern.
Take UM to cover the 4.5 and stay in the bowl hunt.
#13 Michigan State (+13) @ #3 Ohio State – Ohio Stadium (Columbus, OH) – ABC – 3:30 pm
The Buckeyes (10-0, 6-0) are leading the Big Ten’s East Division, but still have their most challenging games ahead of them.
On Saturday, the Spartans (9-1, 5-1)–whose lone loss was a 39-38 defeat in a controversial ending at Nebraska–will travel to the Horseshoe in what is a must win game if they are going to win the division and have any shot at sneaking into the College Football Playoff.
Following a one-game suspension for his OVI, JT Barrett returned in last week’s 28-3 win at Illinois. Ezekiel Elliott ran for 181 yards and the Buckeyes piled up over 280 as a team.
However, MSU allows just 121 yards per game on the ground and brings enough to the table to compete in Columbus.
Mark Dantonio’s club will probably fall a little shy straight up, but the Spartans against the spread seems to be a solid pick.
Georgia (-14.5) vs. Georgia Southern – Sanford Stadium (Athens, GA) – ESPNU – 7 pm
The Eagles will be sky high for their chance to knock off in-state, SEC foe UGA.
GSU (7-2) is competing nicely in the Sun Belt in just their second season at the FBS level and possess the nation’s top ground attack as they churn out nearly 380 yards per contest.
However, their one-dimensional approach likely won’t fair well against the more talented Bulldogs.
UGA (7-3), which is coming off a 20-13 win at Auburn, will win its third straight as it heads into its regular season finale’ and rivalry match-up with Georgia Tech.
Arkansas (-3.5) vs. #17 Mississippi State – Razorback Stadium (Fayetteville, AR) – ESPN – 7 pm
Following a disappointing first half of the season and 2-4 record at the midway point, the Razorbacks seem to have hit their stride the last several weeks and are coming off of a very impressive 31-14 night win at Tiger Stadium–a rarely accomplished feat.
Offensively, they are rolling up 470 yards per game and possess tremendous balance as they yield more than 200 per game on the ground in their power running attack.
The Bulldogs (7-3) were beaten soundly in Starkville by Bama last week and we’ll see whether they’re up for this challenging road test against one of the hottest teams in America.
#20 Navy (-12) @ Tulsa – Chapman Stadium (Tulsa, OK) – 7 PM
The Midshipmen (8-1, 6-0) are tied with Houston (10-0, 6-0) atop the AAC West Division.
On Saturday, Navy will travel to Tulsa (5-5) that has been pretty good offensively and struggled defensively.
The Golden Hurricane allow an average of more than 220 yards per game on the ground and have given up at least 30 points in seven of its last eight contests.
Meanwhile, the Middies have scored a combined 100 points the last two weeks in routs of Memphis (45-20) and SMU (55-14). Additionally, their defense is more competitive than it has been in recent years.
Kentucky (-24) vs. Charlotte – Commonwealth Stadium (Lexington, KY) – SEC Network – 7:30 PM
Since starting 4-1, Mark Stoops and the Wildcats have dropped five straight.
Now, UK (4-6) must win its final two games if it is going to go bowling.
Therefore, it’s good that this week’s opponent shouldn’t present much of a challenge.
Charlotte (2-8), a first-year FBS program and in its third-year overall, has lost eight consecutive games and only a few of those have been competitive.